Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $23.7
- Potential payout
- $26.04
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Polymarket Trader
Frostgarda
0xe37523405c06def00ff9b426575fd2609e213ae7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.7
- Realized PnL
- $7.34
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Magic position
Bucks vs. Magic
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96% 26.04 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 28.04 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 99.1% 23.32 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 98.6% 23.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 96.4% 24.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 93% 24.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96.4% 23.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 98.3% 23.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 86% 27.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 27.47 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 90% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 95% 10 shares