No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $402.96
- Potential payout
- $571.58
- Potential profit
- $168.62
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $298.86
Polymarket Trader
vi.
0xe37c693b9bb21d7f88b82b8834dd8a3c33703f0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $507.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $102.39
- Potential payout
- $335.7
- Potential profit
- $233.31
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$74.49
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $15.81
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.27
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.39
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.74
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.45
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $72.5
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.05
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.25
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.05
No position
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.6
No position
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.21
No position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.41
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.19
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Florida position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.12
Yes position
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.17-1.22°C?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Yes position
Kamala wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 19% 17 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 20% 103.2 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 24% 103.2 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 65% 203 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 54% 9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 55% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes 99.8% 602.83 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes 88.9% 433.07 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes 90.3% 59.96 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 52% 55 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 53% 55 shares
- Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?No 84% 1.19 shares