Polymarket Trader

0xE38C6963C0f1A6DBF9b23Dd3A7265Cc1d8681eE8-1715794805258

0xe38c6963c0f1a6dbf9b23dd3a7265cc1d8681ee8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.21
Realized PnL: $302.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.9
Potential profit: $197.9
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.82
Potential profit: $131.82
User PnL: -$15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $114.94
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $79.13
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$5.79

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.08
Potential profit: $53.08
User PnL: -$40.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.31
Potential profit: $31.31
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $24.59
User PnL: -$15

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.49
Potential profit: $24.49
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.3
Potential profit: $12.3
User PnL: -$7.7

No position

Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.58

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.98

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.46

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.21

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.07

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.6% 54.34 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 59.52 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 96.15 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 142.85 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.1% 58.82 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 59.52 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 55.24 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 10,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 33% 30.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 69% 48.19 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 62.6% 12.3 shares