Polymarket Trader

Tobias1909

0xe394fd07cfceaceffcfab62afa3969afe8ec289c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.31K
Realized PnL: $81.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $6.69K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $53.31K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.53K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.33K
Potential profit: $28.33K
User PnL: -$2.06K

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $10.07K
Potential payout: $19.21K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $832.29

Matteo Berrettini position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$8.4K

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.96K
Potential profit: $11.96K
User PnL: -$2.55K

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.32K
Potential profit: $11.32K
User PnL: -$6.26K

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $170.19
Potential payout: $8.3K
Potential profit: $8.13K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$626.81

Victoria Mboko position

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$1.59K

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.86K
Potential profit: $7.86K
User PnL: -$3.55K

Yes position

Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.43K
Potential profit: $7.43K
User PnL: -$378.72

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $6.14K
Potential profit: $4.76K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $60.14

Carlos Alcaraz position

Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $6.1K
User PnL: -$3.74K

Elena Rybakina position

Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$2.7K

Belinda Bencic position

Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$2.46K

Maria Sakkari position

HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$1.62K

Raphael Collignon position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$2.33K

Hailey Baptiste position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptiste

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Alexander Zverev position

Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.15K

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$600

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.35K

Iga Swiatek position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Clara Tauson position

Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.65K

Dayana Yastremska position

Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.85K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94K

Yes position

Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28K

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8K

No position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69K

No position

Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63K

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Kimberly Birrell position

Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

Yes position

Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

Francisco Comesana position

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Hugo Gaston position

Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Jannik Sinner position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Aryna Sabalenka position

Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Coco Gauff position

Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Alex Michelsen position

Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Daria Snigur position

Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

Rafael Jodar position

Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

No position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 21% 4,570.41 shares
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina

Liudmila Samsonova 48% 2,000 shares
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann

Luciano Darderi 62% 3,000 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39.9% 1,332.91 shares
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova

Jessica Pegula 56% 2,057.92 shares
Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 257.9 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 59,999.99 shares
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz

Alexander Zverev 43% 5,000 shares
Will Czechia finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 27.7% 76.9 shares
Will Czechia finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 26% 122 shares
Will Czechia finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 20% 384 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 21.9% 2,376.45 shares