josediaz

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $840.08
Potential payout: $846.43
Potential profit: $6.35
User PnL: $77.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $591.88
Potential payout: $816.38
Potential profit: $224.51
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $70.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $176.76
Potential payout: $620.43
Potential profit: $443.67
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$195.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.8
Potential profit: $459.8
User PnL: -$250.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.31
Potential profit: $420.31
User PnL: -$288.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $260.97
Potential payout: $285.21
Potential profit: $24.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $155.71
Potential payout: $270.8
Potential profit: $115.09
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$26.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.79
Potential profit: $247.79
User PnL: -$171.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.61
Potential profit: $247.61
User PnL: -$157.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $165.44
Potential payout: $165.53
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $40.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $135.53
Potential payout: $165.28
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $19.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $136.8
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $23.2
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $139
Potential payout: $153.59
Potential profit: $14.59
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $21.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $145.01
Potential payout: $145.08
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $43.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.39
Potential profit: $141.39
User PnL: -$90.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.4
Potential profit: $122.4
User PnL: -$96.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $115.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$89.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.34
Potential profit: $113.34
User PnL: -$77.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $110.72
Potential payout: $110.77
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $31.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.53
Potential profit: $108.53
User PnL: -$80.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.33
Potential profit: $106.33
User PnL: -$51.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $65.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$7.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.85
Potential profit: $94.85
User PnL: -$61.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $64.59
Potential payout: $86.69
Potential profit: $22.11
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?