No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $27.54
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $23.46
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Polymarket Trader
0xe397...dbe5
0xe3972d7c0dfc3357f466ec60f1d2a8130247dbe5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $61
- Realized PnL
- -$9.29
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $13.52
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.39
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.38
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.94x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 96.3% 8 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 16% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 11.3% 16 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 89% 6 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 17% 14 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5% 10 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 88% 9 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97.5% 9 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 17 shares