Polymarket Trader

drril

0xe39fdbc06583eea39264f7c20f42795616ddc040

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $116.28
Realized PnL: $195.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.2
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $172
Potential profit: $154.8
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $25.31
Potential payout: $168.72
Potential profit: $143.41
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$16.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $92.11
Potential profit: $81.52
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$14.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.05
Potential profit: $58.05
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $26.78
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $25.22
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $11.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $37.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $36.79
Potential profit: $30.72
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $31.62
Potential profit: $31.57
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Türkiye leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $17.12
Potential profit: $12.75
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.92
Potential profit: $11.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 2AM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.76
Potential profit: $8.76
User PnL: -$1.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.53

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

No position

Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $4.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or higher on March 21?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?

Yes 16% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 26?

Yes 10.3% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 24% 10.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?

Yes 34% 1.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?

Yes 11% 3.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?

Yes 9% 16.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 5% 12.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 5% 38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 26?

Yes 10.3% 22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?

Yes 2.1% 20.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?

Yes 22% 18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?

Yes 6.8% 33 shares