Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $286.61
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$236.36
Polymarket Trader
0xe3adc7ad654a6761Ac5a69D5AC51bA2229beE40b-1772802624291
0xe3adc7ad654a6761ac5a69d5ac51ba2229bee40b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $450.03
- Realized PnL
- $990.23
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$220.13
Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $153.32
- Potential payout
- $713.13
- Potential profit
- $559.81
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $17.83
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $352.23
- Potential profit
- $344.13
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$129.27
Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $15.37
- Potential profit
- $13.37
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.05
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.9
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.15
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.2
No position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.57
No position
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.4
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.12
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.96
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$190.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 17% 896.19 shares
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Yes 19% 424.55 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 17.2% 800 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Yes 39% 170 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 23.5% 59.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 0.2% 1,499.97 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 0.2% 300 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 11.7% 378.97 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 9.4% 100 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 13.8% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 32% 119.84 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 41.4% 2,416.33 shares