No position
Will Jimmy Panetta advance from the CA-19 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$45.98
Polymarket Trader
Tr-mp
0xe3aeb10c729dbef5f382bc229dca0660583d217a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.55
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$29.92
No position
Will Uganda have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$29.6
No position
Will Jason Gibbs advance from the CA-27 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$22.9
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$14.57
N
No position
Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$21.8
No position
Claude 4.8 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$21.18
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$21.12
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $960
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $881.99
- Potential profit
- $881.99
- User PnL
- -$17.64
No position
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $867
- Potential profit
- $867
- User PnL
- -$26.01
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $817.99
- Potential profit
- $817.99
- User PnL
- -$16.36
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $791
- Potential profit
- $791
- User PnL
- -$15.82
Yes position
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $785.97
- Potential profit
- $785.97
- User PnL
- -$15.72
Yes position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $775
- Potential profit
- $775
- User PnL
- -$9.3
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772
- Potential profit
- $772
- User PnL
- -$15.44
Yes position
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $739.49
- Potential profit
- $733.94
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.24
No position
Claude 4.8 released by June 30?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $732
- Potential profit
- $732
- User PnL
- -$21.96
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $707
- Potential profit
- $707
- User PnL
- -$14.14
Yes position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $704
- Potential profit
- $704
- User PnL
- -$21.12
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $680
- Potential profit
- $680
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $675.89
- Potential profit
- $675.89
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.99
- Potential profit
- $660.99
- User PnL
- -$13.22
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 11?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.99
- Potential profit
- $660.99
- User PnL
- -$13.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $443.51
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.27
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.87
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $74.72
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.91
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.51
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.62
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $53.47
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $50.37
Yes position
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.99
Yes position
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.12
No position
Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.99
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.68
No position
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.04
Yes position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $39.98
No position
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.29
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.6
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.97
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $36.71
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.02
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $35.88
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.1
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $34.58
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 44.1% 171.99 shares
- Will "Reform" be in the headlines this week?Yes 18% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 8% 176.56 shares
- LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?Over 56% 6.33 shares
- FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?No 29% 30.54 shares
- Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?Yes 9% 5.49 shares
- Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?Yes 15% 55 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Yes 13% 53.22 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: JuneSomething 16% 78 shares
- Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Yes 66% 12 shares
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 11% 26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 36% 24.58 shares