Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $176.04
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$427.04
Polymarket Trader
turboff46
0xe3b44bf35a261ba2773071f4c1dc146a14e06fab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.99
- Realized PnL
- $313.89
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$62.49
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$351.45
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.01
- Potential profit
- $530.01
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.92
- Potential profit
- $226.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$95.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$24.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.83
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.19
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 19% 1,630 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 30% 100 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?Down 3% 100 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes 10% 430 shares
- US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes 4.6% 800 shares
- US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes 4.5% 570.98 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 55% 130 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes 30% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes 30% 98 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes 32% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes 32% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes 32% 20 shares