Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.48
- Potential profit
- $70.48
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Polymarket Trader
0xe3ba...a1fd
0xe3ba92d94ccb8f575803232877b122770d3fa1fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $56.69
- Realized PnL
- $11.85
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.83
- Potential profit
- $50.83
- User PnL
- -$50
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $41.65
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.65
Y
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.2%
- Current value
- $15.04
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.7
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.89
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Timberwolves position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?Yes 98% 51.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?Yes 98.4% 50.83 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?Yes 96% 52.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?Yes 98.9% 50.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 9?Yes 98.9% 50.58 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?Yes 98% 51.02 shares