No position
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
alexlude
0xe3babc8ff7cb5b4d2668bef2178c51f567a2cf33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.69
- Realized PnL
- $85.06
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $60.35
- Potential payout
- $197.88
- Potential profit
- $137.53
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $105.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.1
- Potential profit
- $69.1
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.07
- Potential profit
- $63.07
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will the Netherlands vc Morocco game not air?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.16
- Potential profit
- $53.16
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.35
- Potential profit
- $37.35
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.89
- Potential profit
- $15.89
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $7.34
- Potential payout
- $13.98
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.44
- Potential profit
- $7.44
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.79
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Germany vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during Netherlands vs Morocco?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during Netherlands vs Morocco?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will the Netherlands vc Morocco game not air?Yes 1.9% 53.16 shares
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during Netherlands vs Morocco?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Germany vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 19% 105.26 shares
- Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 15.9% 63.07 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 214.29 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 25.3% 197.88 shares
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 33% 15.15 shares