No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.17K
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- User PnL
- $41.02
Polymarket Trader
JackMa01
0xe3c3c6d4e9104f5734aead1717718667a23cac62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.67K
- Realized PnL
- $20.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $389.24
- Potential payout
- $390.02
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $49.2
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $20.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.71
Yes position
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $22.61
- Potential profit
- $21.55
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.27
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.57
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.73
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $13.08
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.99
- Potential payout
- $12.14
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $6.36
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $3.51
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Wizards position
Wizards vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
Procyon Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Crashers - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
T1 Academy position
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Team Secret Whales position
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.77
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.74
Team Secret Whales position
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.04
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.99
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.87
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
GAM Esports position
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.09
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.6
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Wizards
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.14
CTBC Flying Oyster position
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.32
GAM Esports position
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.93
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.58
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.97
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or higher on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 99% 3,156.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 99% 300.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 99% 200.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 98.7% 109.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 99% 300.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 94% 102.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?Yes 99% 160.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 20?No 99% 182.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?No 99% 528.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?No 98.8% 500.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 19?No 98.8% 212 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 19?No 99.7% 200.03 shares