Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Polymarket Trader
0xe3c6...4770
0xe3c6bfde2d276d961f195f96c3709cd2ca574770
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $51.08
- Realized PnL
- $3.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.47
- Potential profit
- $7.47
- User PnL
- -$5.68
UNLV Runnin Rebels position
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- User PnL
- -$5.13
No position
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.47
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
No position
Will the National Movement of Amhara (NaMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.02
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Dollar Tree Q1 comparable store net sales growth be above 5%?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Smash Into Pieces win Melodifestivalen 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?Yes 99% 4.76 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?No 99.9% 4.7 shares
- Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?No 96.7% 4.86 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 98.6% 4.7 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 98.8% 4.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 98.9% 4.8 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 4.76 shares
- Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?No 99.4% 4.76 shares
- Will "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?No 99% 4.77 shares
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?Yes 99.9% 4.73 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 99.6% 4.75 shares
- Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?No 99.9% 4.74 shares