Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $550
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $130
Polymarket Trader
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0xe3ce26172dcdbe38f3280f30759f8a8e89dc54a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.4K
- Realized PnL
- $11.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- User PnL
- $35.2
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $344.66
- Potential payout
- $345.52
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- User PnL
- $12.96
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.51
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.5
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.8
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.5
Yes position
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.88
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369
Yes position
300+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.33
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $348.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318
No position
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.07
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.48
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $222.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Will Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.26
No position
Will Grok still be #1 Free app next Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.08
No position
Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.96
No position
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.83
No position
Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 92% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 98.1% 46.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 96.9% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.5% 1,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 92.4% 766.72 shares
- Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes 96.6% 1,614.73 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?No 96% 1,092.98 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.3% 210 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.2% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.3% 500 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 86% 68 shares
- Will Trump or Melania say "Stock Market" during the Congressional Picnic?No 76.5% 40 shares