Polymarket Trader

wolderon

0xe3d1bda23199d8218bd782bccbe5ad7fcc59a334

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.1
Realized PnL: $9.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.58
Potential profit: $26.58
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Kings position

Predators vs. Kings

Ends Mar 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?

Ends Aug 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Lightning position

Lightning vs. Bruins

Ends Mar 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

2024 July hottest on record?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) win Gold in Women's 50m Freestyle?

Ends Aug 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

US bank failure before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 91% 1.1 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Yes 32% 1.23 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?

Yes 98.4% 1.02 shares
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?

Yes 85% 1.17 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 60% 1.23 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 31% 1.23 shares
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?

No 98.5% 1.02 shares
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?

No 97.5% 1.03 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?

No 99.5% 1.03 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares