Polymarket Trader

0xe3d3...b2a2

0xe3d33c609ffd32ffdb5824b67ae9fdd6de63b2a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $31.99
Realized PnL: $9.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20.05
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.99
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 99.6% 12.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

No 98.2% 5.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 29?

No 99.5% 10.05 shares
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 0.1% 470.59 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?

No 99.1% 8.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 8?

No 98.9% 9.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 8?

No 99.1% 11.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 8?

No 98.6% 7.99 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 8?

No 99.2% 12.1 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?

No 97% 7.21 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 97% 7.21 shares
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 0.2% 470.59 shares