China PR position
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.52
Polymarket Trader
Murchison
0xe3d7f2a46544dfd8f0f5eea8e9771b0ec84c2718
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $55.75
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $29.88
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
China PR position
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.52
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $29.88
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 995.99 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 500 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 495.99 shares
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?Yes 8% 985 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes 3.7% 945.99 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 6.7% 970 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Yes 5% 956 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes 5.3% 480 shares
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes 5.4% 340 shares
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes 5.4% 410 shares
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)China PR 92% 469 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No 92% 477.99 shares