Yes position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.91
- Potential profit
- $632.91
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
nanideska
0xe3df33bb1a9bb28b261437d6d16fc6123b24d099
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $685.17
- Realized PnL
- $14
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.39
- Potential profit
- $337.39
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $319.15
- Potential payout
- $319.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Unit launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.71
- Potential profit
- $254.71
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $173.53
- Potential payout
- $173.53
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $28.93
Yes position
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $155.63
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
No position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.54
- Potential profit
- $143.54
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $127.82
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Canton launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $112.36
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $12.36
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.48
- Potential profit
- $96.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.29
- Potential profit
- $63.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.61
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $40.61
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.93
- Potential profit
- $50.93
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.92
- Potential profit
- $23.92
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.52
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 7.6% 221.87 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes 83.6% 143.53 shares
- Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes 4.6% 250 shares
- Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes 47% 42.55 shares
- Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes 94% 319.15 shares
- Will Canton launch a token in 2025?Yes 89% 112.36 shares
- Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 5% 71.42 shares
- Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?Yes 39.3% 50.93 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes 7.9% 63.29 shares
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 4.5% 221.88 shares