Polymarket Trader

Sadoshi

0xe3e583d67cc67032f9a43ff51bd6c637ce34dd13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $270.06
Realized PnL: $248.55
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.53K
Potential profit: $20.53K
User PnL: -$621.86

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $7.02K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Russian strike on Poland by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$90

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $606.06
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $78.57
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $397.62
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$21.43

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$23

Operário Ferroviário EC position

Spread: Operário Ferroviário EC (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Exact Score: Operário Ferroviário EC 0 - 0 América FC?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$12.5

América FC position

Spread: América FC (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$7.5

Over position

Operário Ferroviário EC vs. América FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Operário Ferroviário EC 3 - 0 América FC?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.25
Potential profit: $124.25
User PnL: -$19.26

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $75.63
Potential payout: $75.97
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $5.36

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.64
Potential profit: $74.64
User PnL: -$0.07

Under position

O/U 4.5 Rounds

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.92
Potential profit: $68.92
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.26
Potential profit: $34.26
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.34
Potential payout: $19.46
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $15.82
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.75

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.61

Tigres de la UANL position

Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Exact Score: FC St. Pauli 1910 0 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down on June 27?

Up 17.1% 15.22 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Up 0.1% 74.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Up 0.1% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?

Up 17% 125 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 27?

Yes 15.5% 124.25 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?

Yes 6.9% 125 shares
Spread: América FC (-1.5)

América FC 6% 125 shares
Operário Ferroviário EC vs. América FC: O/U 4.5

Over 10% 125 shares
Exact Score: Operário Ferroviário EC 0 - 0 América FC?

Yes 10% 125 shares
Exact Score: Operário Ferroviário EC 3 - 0 América FC?

Yes 6% 125 shares
Spread: Operário Ferroviário EC (-2.5)

Operário Ferroviário EC 11% 125 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Up 14% 34.26 shares