Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Polymarket Trader
0xE3f8fA13D7e1BC86d0d6dE6872104F3A65eF2515-1774541290497
0xe3f8fa13d7e1bc86d0d6de6872104f3a65ef2515
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $987.72
- Realized PnL
- $6.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $83.46
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.53
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $11.67
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- User PnL
- -$109.99
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $15.71
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $100.89
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $130.91
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.19
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $184.17
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $34.17
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $91.41
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $41.41
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $100.72
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $69.19
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$30.81
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $20.53
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $20.06
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $917.44
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $11.36
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $897.73
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $112.05
- Potential payout
- $892.86
- Potential profit
- $780.8
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $12.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.36
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.52
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.73
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.42
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $246.15
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.07
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.5
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.08
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.28
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.67
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.15
Yes position
Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.89
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.31
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 714.29 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes 15% 253.33 shares
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 1,923.08 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.6% 431.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 1,260.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.3% 7,956.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 126.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.9% 1,295.18 shares