Polymarket Trader

xiaodaoge1

0xe4023f3e9228de02449dd47e3ae2bb898119aa49

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.27
Realized PnL: $82.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $74.99
Potential profit: $74.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.98
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $28.5
Potential profit: $27.57
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.78
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.39
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $24.98
Potential profit: $24.81
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $22.17
Potential profit: $21.62
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.69
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 29.7% 3.37 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 99.9% 16.64 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 96% 16.65 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 85% 7.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Up 2% 9.23 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 87% 4.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Up 65% 9.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 72% 8.33 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 87% 3.45 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Down 95% 4.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 87% 4.6 shares