No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $38.81
- Potential payout
- $38.95
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.29
Polymarket Trader
TristanJedo
0xe4056a3e5480a299e1a823050c560da690987007
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.14
- Realized PnL
- $14.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $17.33
- Potential payout
- $17.66
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 56°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 70°F or higher on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or higher on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 50°F or higher on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 98.9% 38.95 shares
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 94% 40.7 shares
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 95.6% 40.7 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 17.66 shares
- Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 10 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 96.8% 10 shares
- Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No 99% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.4% 10 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 4?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No 99.8% 5 shares