Polymarket Trader

0xe418...5c1a

0xe418a536730c8cc3ecf0546c1afca6f64eb75c1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $8.94
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $666
Potential profit: $665.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.8
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $332.99
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $81.76
Potential profit: $81.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $81.31
Potential profit: $81.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $65.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $65.98
Potential profit: $65.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $63.99
Potential profit: $63.61
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45.85
Potential profit: $45.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.6
Potential profit: $38.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $32.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $30.24
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $31.42
Potential profit: $31.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $26.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.9
Potential profit: $21.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $19.06
Potential profit: $17.34
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.96

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.07

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?

Yes 4% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 5?

Yes 14% 14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 5?

Yes 1% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?

Yes 1% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 5?

Yes 8% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?

Yes 2% 76.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Yes 10% 10.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Yes 14.5% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 5?

Yes 3.3% 6.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 5?

Yes 17% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 5?

Yes 9% 5.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?

Yes 1% 200 shares