Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $103.28
- Potential profit
- $103.02
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.72
Polymarket Trader
0xe433...136b
0xe43354e2d1baa7674619a1eed3834002c43e136b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $167.18
- Realized PnL
- $638.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.41
- Potential payout
- $39.43
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $24.82
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $21.18
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $13.83
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Y
Yes position
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $32.09
- Potential profit
- $24.87
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.54
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.9%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $23.29
- Potential profit
- $8.19
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.9
- Potential payout
- $21.91
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $18.84
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $16.14
- Potential payout
- $18.06
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.15
N
No position
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $13.76
- Potential payout
- $17.98
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.11
- Potential payout
- $16.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.86
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.54
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.13
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.66
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.22
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
Houston Astros position
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $14.43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.66
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Alan Magadan position
Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadan
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Detroit Tigers position
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.83
Under position
France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 63.6% 23.29 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 79% 18.84 shares
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage3DMAX 99.9% 10.83 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli 91% 10.75 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian OfnerHubert Hurkacz 95% 10.46 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner TienLearner Tien 72% 13.69 shares
- Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria KasatkinaJanice Tjen 64% 15.44 shares
- Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria KasatkinaDaria Kasatkina 53% 18.55 shares
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage3DMAX 54% 10.83 shares
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerT1 84% 11.83 shares
- Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko TopoLorenzo Giustino 88.4% 16.76 shares
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageTYLOO 99.9% 18.54 shares