Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.46
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$12.46
Polymarket Trader
ElmerArnold
0xe439af3ea2a816219af6c50c199dccf3ac0c7de8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.14
- Realized PnL
- $106.39
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $22.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77.85
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $74.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.55
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $20.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Down position
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 22.6% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 54% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on June 16?No 99.9% 28.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?No 99.7% 31.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 3?No 99.9% 23.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 3?No 99.9% 17.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 3?No 99.8% 8.52 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 0.3% 100.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 65.7% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 26% 50 shares