Polymarket Trader

larpas

0xe43c7b9adddeaf01ba16bc3c5b27f034407801ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $454.65K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.83K

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.75K

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.33K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.55K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.83K

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.75K

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.33K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.55K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08K

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84K

No position

Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58K

No position

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59K

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.55

No position

Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.78

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$137.67

Democratic position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$151.48

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$230

No position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.08K

Republican position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.49K

No position

Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.05K

No position

Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.6K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.11K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$32.49K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 57.7% 3.55 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 56% 9,836.46 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 55.9% 25,092.65 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 55.9% 76,489 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 55.8% 110,694.17 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 56.4% 10,803.57 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 56.4% 49,514.45 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 57.1% 152,978 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 57.9% 3,893.64 shares
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Yes 57% 15,800.6 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 58.1% 23,753.51 shares
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Yes 76% 5,173.75 shares