Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.25K
- Potential profit
- $11.25K
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Polymarket Trader
Openty3
0xe442f7c55e3ef842c540629bc48a57ea0470b87b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.38
- Realized PnL
- $35.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $11.35
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Project Helix release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.9%
- Current value
- $6.46
- Potential payout
- $9.12
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $8.17
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Jonathan Gimbord as Hikaru (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (French) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $7.29
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.12
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $6.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $5.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Black Woman statue be removed from Times Square early?
Ends Jun 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.9%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $4.81
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2400 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.72
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Up position
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will 'Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack' debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Gavin Newsom arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Claude go down 1-2 times in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Medvedev position
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shang
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Project Helix release by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 9.12 shares
- Will Jonathan Gimbord as Hikaru (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (French) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No 88% 7.95 shares
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?Yes 82.3% 7.29 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No 96.7% 3.1 shares
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?Yes 97.6% 5.12 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?No 99.1% 10.2 shares
- Anthropic CEO arrested?No 98.7% 11.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?No 95% 2.11 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 95% 3.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?No 95% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on May 12?No 90% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 12?No 97.8% 5.11 shares