Greysok

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$200.31

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$103.49

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $12.51
User PnL: $481.78

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$19.28

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$315

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $591.5
Potential payout: $845
Potential profit: $253.5
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $67.6

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $617.4
Potential payout: $840
Potential profit: $222.6
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $315

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $56.39
Potential payout: $805.54
Potential profit: $749.15
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$46.36

No position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $672.46
Potential payout: $679.25
Potential profit: $6.79
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $167.05

Yes position

Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $87.96
Potential payout: $628.32
Potential profit: $540.36
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $36.42

No position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $598.52
Potential payout: $603.65
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: $123.29

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $575
Potential profit: $570.98
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$4.03

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $405.08
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $111.18

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $330.08
Potential payout: $400.1
Potential profit: $70.02
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $170.02

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $323.22
Potential payout: $378.04
Potential profit: $54.82
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $102.9

No position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $221.21
Potential payout: $335.17
Potential profit: $113.96
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $16.76

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $243.64
Potential payout: $250.79
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $154.96

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $231.53
Potential payout: $232.22
Potential profit: $0.7
User PnL: $20.2

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $80.44
Potential payout: $88.89
Potential profit: $8.44
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $31.56

No position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $48.4
Potential payout: $57.97
Potential profit: $9.57
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $15.36

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $16.89
Potential payout: $20.96
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.39

Yes position

Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $946.32

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $912.09

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $514.06

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.1

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.74

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $418.4

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365

No position

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.85

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.05

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.38

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.51

No position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $224.99

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.53

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.88

No position

Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.24

No position

Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.81

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.72

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.51

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?