Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $7.36
- Potential payout
- $151.66
- Potential profit
- $144.3
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Polymarket Trader
Shoibaliam
0xe449ca188844dc5c8b90cea431167afeb9ce71d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.36
- Realized PnL
- -$5.64
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 6.5% 151.66 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?Yes 0.1% 50 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 25.5% 50 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 0.1% 514.29 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 0.7% 1,314.29 shares