fi5h

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.41
Potential profit: $231.41
User PnL: -$87.79

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.64
Potential profit: $170.64
User PnL: -$37.39

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $143.49
Potential payout: $150.65
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $39.81

Yes position

Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $66.57
Potential payout: $140.14
Potential profit: $73.57
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $23.17

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Implied probability: 27.3%
Current value: $38.15
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $101.85
Multiplier: 3.67x
User PnL: $33.25

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $139.99
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.3
Potential profit: $136.3
User PnL: -$19.74

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $133
User PnL: -$9.57

Yes position

Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.61
Potential profit: $132.61
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $5.78
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $124.21
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.85
Potential profit: $128.85
User PnL: -$8.69

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.29
Potential profit: $125.29
User PnL: -$17.94

Yes position

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.05
Potential profit: $125.05
User PnL: -$6.61

Yes position

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $21.37
Potential payout: $115.85
Potential profit: $94.47
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.47
Potential profit: $115.47
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.33
Potential profit: $111.33
User PnL: -$46.11

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.91
Potential profit: $107.91
User PnL: -$13.71

Yes position

Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.46
Potential profit: $103.46
User PnL: -$6.39

Yes position

Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.1
Potential profit: $101.1
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $100.82
Potential profit: $85.7
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$24.41

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $73.51
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $20.54

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.25
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $15.86
Potential payout: $99.14
Potential profit: $83.28
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $98
User PnL: -$16.96

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.97
Potential profit: $90.97
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.35
Potential profit: $90.35
User PnL: -$44.55

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $78.44
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.14
Potential profit: $88.14
User PnL: -$17.87

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $76.28
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $70.37
Potential profit: $60.69
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.2
Potential profit: $70.2
User PnL: -$5.73

No position

Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 8 launches in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.46
Potential profit: $68.46
User PnL: -$6.03

No position

Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.51
Potential profit: $67.51
User PnL: -$30.28

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.2
Potential profit: $66.2
User PnL: -$5.85

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.83
Potential profit: $65.83
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.66
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $51.34
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $35.47
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $54.13
Potential profit: $51.83
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$1.41

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.59
Potential profit: $52.59
User PnL: -$35

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.51
Potential profit: $52.51
User PnL: -$10.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.4

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.59

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.47

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.5

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.55

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.58

Yes position

Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.11

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.95

Yes position

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.34

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.15

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

India position

Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.73

Yes position

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.07

No position

Will West Indies reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.94

South Africa position

T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.24

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.13

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.82

India position

T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.41

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.69

West Indies position

T20 Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.46

Sri Lanka position

ODI Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.05

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.58

Yes position

Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.27

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

No position

Will Sri Lanka reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.17

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.09

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

New Zealand position

T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.01

No position

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.89

India position

T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders