Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.7
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Polymarket Trader
ViscaElBarca
0xe457dd299f14f8f097b0d7ec8d5be29761455ab3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.05
- Realized PnL
- $242.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
N
No position
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.3
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.3
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.6
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Y
Yes position
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Y
Yes position
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.37
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.4
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Y
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.6
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.2
No position
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.8
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Y
Yes position
Will Elliot Anderson join Chelsea?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.3
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
N
No position
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?
Ends Jul 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.6
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.99
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.8
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.68
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $20.33
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $18.01
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.99
No position
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.4
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.26
Yes position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.18
No position
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.42x
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 19?No 61% 2.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?No 66% 4.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?Yes 31% 6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?No 65% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?Yes 24% 10.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?No 54% 14.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?Yes 26% 2.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?Yes 29% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?No 69% 1.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 20?No 61% 10 shares