No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Polymarket Trader
Marooski
0xe45a3cbcbcffd2d0258638281a4ca4b97c1295eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.63K
- Realized PnL
- $1.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $166.21
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$18.58
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $174
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $905
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $202.75
- Potential payout
- $784.33
- Potential profit
- $581.58
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $81.97
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $405.4
- Potential payout
- $429
- Potential profit
- $23.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $414
- Potential payout
- $414
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $91.08
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $399.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $127.8
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $252.02
- Potential payout
- $281.59
- Potential profit
- $29.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $67.36
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $206.45
- Potential payout
- $250.24
- Potential profit
- $43.79
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $211.2
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $28.8
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $40.8
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$76.5
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $39.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $60.65
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- -$14.65
No position
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $77.28
- Potential payout
- $77.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $23.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.07
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.63
Flames position
Hurricanes vs. Flames
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.02
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Stars
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
Utah position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.12
Bruins position
Kings vs. Bruins
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.2
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Sharks
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.44
Bucks position
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.88
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Netanyahu out by 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.92
No position
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.36
Senators position
Senators vs. Canucks
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.75
Over position
Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.68
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
Sabres position
Lightning vs. Sabres
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.7
Ducks position
Canadiens vs. Ducks
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Under position
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Bucks position
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2
Yes position
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.6% 300 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.8% 100 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 96% 57.58 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 95.7% 19.7 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 7% 1,000 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No 93% 129 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 31% 87.69 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 68% 400 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 51% 150 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 86% 355 shares