Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.34
Polymarket Trader
0x028bf92851d0255477c05607b885ce43a65329d0
0xe462c4c7b03018bf9eba1b1c6eee45f714438969
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.49
- Realized PnL
- -$0.81
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Another actor announced as next James Bond actor?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will $UST be above $0.01 on May 17, 2022?
Ends May 17, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Bengals position
Bengals vs. Ravens
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes 80% 1.25 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 45% 2.44 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 98.9% 2.02 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No 97.9% 1.02 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 96.5% 2.07 shares
- Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes 85% 1.18 shares
- Ethereum above $2,400 on June 24?Yes 64.8% 1.54 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 72% 1.39 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 98.7% 2.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes 92% 2.39 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 95% 2,756.1 shares