Polymarket Trader

ella733ezio

0xe477e5621ac3ed9071fff1d17a6f734a72557627

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $8.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Solana dip to $155 August 4–10?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.4%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

No 98.5% 101 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.5% 201 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

No 98.4% 29 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.6% 99 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 92.6% 107 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 92.5% 107 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 94.7% 8 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 94.7% 105 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 12.7% 57.24 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 12.8% 100 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 155 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 155 shares