Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
0xe47a...2f05
0xe47acc8fd9821f0140786a74e7304e2d56122f05
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$10.89
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Y
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 26% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 27% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 27% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 27% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 27% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 27% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 27% 30 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 47% 17 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 47% 17 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 47% 17 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 47% 17 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 47% 17 shares