Polymarket Trader

nicoeg

0xe47b9fa7175eed682751d77eae41b22910f3a899

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $439.76
Realized PnL: $16.82
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $23.57
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $119.29
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.08
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $76.96
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $69.34
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $33.76
Potential payout: $85.47
Potential profit: $51.71
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$15.81

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $70.92
Potential profit: $20.92
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.92
Potential profit: $64.92
User PnL: -$24.67

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $21.83
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $41.46
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$3.49

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $25.95
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $37.34
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $56.94
Potential payout: $57.28
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $48.85
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $50.28
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $25.24
Potential payout: $53.13
Potential profit: $27.89
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $32.48
Potential payout: $51.55
Potential profit: $19.07
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.5
Potential profit: $49.5
User PnL: -$24.75

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $17.58
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.9%
Multiplier: 2.18x
User PnL: $15.44

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 142.86 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 57.14 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 40% 63.29 shares
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68.1% 59.38 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 26% 98.04 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 19.3% 5.13 shares
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 78.3% 6.39 shares