Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49K
- Potential profit
- $6.49K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Polymarket Trader
Smashedabagel
0xe4806e531b6c9e734f1eb3844480c9ea5f1d7885
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $315.2
- Realized PnL
- -$10.89
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $315.2
- Potential payout
- $414.74
- Potential profit
- $99.54
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $115.2
Yes position
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.09
- Potential profit
- $233.09
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.93
Yes position
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.98
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$12.9
No position
Canva IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$34.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 4.3% 1,379.16 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 4.8% 1,234.11 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 2,138.91 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 10.9% 156.58 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 33.9% 88.37 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 73.7% 607.64 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 57.1% 227.66 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes 37.8% 660.73 shares
- Canva IPO before 2027?No 61.7% 187.2 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 80.7% 231.86 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 82% 174.41 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 73.5% 286.35 shares