Polymarket Trader

porkypus

0xe487b3ea9c28139a106e7e7c894c7f648bab7fdb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $158.78
Realized PnL: $380.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.29
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $287.82
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $21.97
Potential payout: $68.35
Potential profit: $46.38
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $60.17
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$17.33

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $57.89
Potential profit: $42.84
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $9.66
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$2.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Up 80% 5.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Down 48% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Up 37% 5.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 71% 5.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 75% 5.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 69% 5.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 43% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 65% 5.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 65% 5.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Down 33% 5.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Down 62% 5.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Down 88% 5 shares