No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $20.23K
- Potential payout
- $20.62K
- Potential profit
- $391.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.93K
Polymarket Trader
0xe49c...481b
0xe49c480540868e09725fb5743980ab3341ca481b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $20.23K
- Realized PnL
- $10.61K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $969.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.48
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.33
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.64
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.06
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$52.59
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$152.44
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$161
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$598.49
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 44.9% 4,444.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 67% 2,074.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27.8% 4,737.67 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 62.3% 4,737.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 3,092.06 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 63% 3,092.06 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 10% 20,209.22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 13.3% 20,209.22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 18,613.12 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 582.35 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 9,411.76 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 5,882.35 shares