Polymarket Trader

0xe49EFc1754Bb0D4c5Db6bf53A1BB6C1C9554eF6B-1778941762073

0xe49efc1754bb0d4c5db6bf53a1bb6c1c9554ef6b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.38
Realized PnL: $137.02
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.8%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.13
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Danilo Barbosa da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $21.05
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.05

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $3.73
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.27
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: -$3.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?

No 80.8% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?

No 74% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?

No 67% 5 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42.1% 10 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.6% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?

No 71% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?

No 4% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?

No 99.9% 5.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?

No 71% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?

No 66% 5.5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 200 shares