Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $422.39
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $687.71
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Polymarket Trader
0xe4a2...4763
0xe4a24d60f5733d5a6a3bd10597d9d67328b74763
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $1.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $166.61
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $940.43
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$26.51
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $296.01
- Potential payout
- $296.15
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $18.63
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $216.25
- Potential payout
- $241.09
- Potential profit
- $24.83
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $47.8
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $223.95
- Potential profit
- $223.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$82.06
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $123.2
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $96.8
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$43.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $155.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $90.63
- Potential profit
- $79.76
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $16.45
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $53.55
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$18.95
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $21.17
- Potential payout
- $23.66
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $2.58
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $759.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.28
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.06
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.84
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.41
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.54
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
No position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 1,225.3 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 666.66 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 666.66 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 333.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.6% 2,931.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.6% 935.64 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 96% 333.32 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp 10% 13.8 shares
- XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETDown 78% 3 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown 86% 38.24 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ETDown 58% 2.64 shares
- XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp 33% 9.45 shares