Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $60.95
- Potential payout
- $69.66
- Potential profit
- $8.71
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.22
Polymarket Trader
0xe4a5...70a5
0xe4a57f61e871556c68e7ff7fa986e93c165970a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $60.95
- Realized PnL
- $387.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.04
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.35
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.41
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28.98
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.17
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.01
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes 80% 69.66 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 6% 272.72 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes 85% 21.82 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 88% 744.93 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?No 94.3% 37.12 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes 96% 46.22 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 90% 50 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 93.2% 60.01 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 11% 272.73 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 87% 100 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 89.6% 323.94 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 82% 357.85 shares