Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.27K
- Potential profit
- $28.27K
- User PnL
- -$167.99
Polymarket Trader
Bucketdweller
0xe4a5b8c8f23808fcc39770bfb4f11bc7bcb815c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $620.75
- Realized PnL
- $170.22
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $136.33
- Potential payout
- $940.2
- Potential profit
- $803.87
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$60.67
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.6%
- Current value
- $484.42
- Potential payout
- $786.39
- Potential profit
- $301.97
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.28
- Potential profit
- $401.28
- User PnL
- -$228.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.76
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.26
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$31.27
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$34.09
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.98
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$83.58
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 0.6% 28,266.48 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.2% 727.27 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 1.3% 1,923.07 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 21% 940.2 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 44.5% 399.98 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 582.09 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.1% 32.73 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.1% 81.83 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61% 671.83 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 12% 500.3 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 39% 487.79 shares