pibeing12

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54K
Potential profit: $11.54K
User PnL: -$499.53

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $6.61K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $5.34K
User PnL: -$349.99

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.79K
User PnL: -$149.99

Yes position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $4.08K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $163.71
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$67.76

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$225

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $919.62
Potential profit: $919.62
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.15
Potential profit: $794.15
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $359.83
Potential payout: $698.7
Potential profit: $338.87
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$49.57

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.20 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681.08
Potential profit: $681.08
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $629.74
Potential profit: $629.74
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.27
Potential profit: $583.27
User PnL: -$297.37

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.68
Potential profit: $347.68
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.82
Potential profit: $341.82
User PnL: -$173.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.1
Potential profit: $331.1
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $65.43
Potential payout: $290.78
Potential profit: $225.35
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $24.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.47
Potential profit: $288.47
User PnL: -$98.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.08

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.30 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.62

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.4

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.41

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.89

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.08

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.31

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.84

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.82

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.23

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

Spain position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.12

France position

France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance