Polymarket Trader

mdkkda

0xe4b7b1ad38d50db788c278b3ed4320932a944af8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $172
Realized PnL: $60.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $89.68
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $34.98
Potential payout: $35.03
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $14.02
Potential payout: $14.18
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $12.98
Potential payout: $13.95
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.33

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Magic

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.14

Thunder position

Nets vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Jazz

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Cavaliers position

Nets vs. Cavaliers

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Pistons position

Pelicans vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Nuggets position

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 13.95 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?

No 99.9% 35.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 79% 6.33 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 75% 4 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 86% 6.98 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

No 99.7% 40.12 shares
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?

No 99.6% 25.1 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98.7% 14.18 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?

No 99.9% 7.01 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

No 99.7% 100.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.8% 60.12 shares