No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.63
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.63
Polymarket Trader
SkyScraperye
0xe4b9b6fcf11ffe015392464c26917364d8557cfe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.68
- Realized PnL
- $12.32
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $15.31
- Potential payout
- $16.3
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $10.57
- Potential payout
- $10.92
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Kamala Harris and JD Vance debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
Ends Jul 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Trump sentenced to between 24 and 35 months prison time?
Ends Jul 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No 95.2% 10.92 shares
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No 96.6% 5.18 shares
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?No 92% 16.3 shares
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No 96.3% 17.65 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No 93% 10.86 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No 95.2% 5.25 shares
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 99.7% 10.03 shares
- GTA VI released in 2025?No 95.2% 10.5 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes 61% 11.48 shares
- Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No 99.1% 10.09 shares