OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $55.95
- Potential payout
- $373
- Potential profit
- $317.05
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$93.25
Polymarket Trader
JamesBaker8760
0xe4c56591cc2bc8d492139651ca9763103877dcb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.34
- Realized PnL
- $1.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $81.44
- Potential profit
- $73.3
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.32
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.89
Yes position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $390.16
Over position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.86
Yes position
Will Trump post "Donald Trump" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.2
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.24
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.29
No position
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $71.4
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.3
Yes position
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $31.82
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.86
No position
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.57
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.09
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.33
Yes position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $20.16
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66
Yes position
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.43
No position
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 79% 531 shares
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 80% 531 shares
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 88% 95 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 16% 246 shares
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 89% 95 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?No 71% 568 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?No 73% 428 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?No 72% 140 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 90.3% 611 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 87.9% 611 shares
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 1,086 shares
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 66% 1,086 shares