No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $43.89
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $13.11
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $15.39
Polymarket Trader
0xe4d7...ae7e
0xe4d77e96777593ca5083d5d067c7a30f8c5cae7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $99.22
- Realized PnL
- -$9.98
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.84
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $14.32
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $7.39
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.3%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $13.47
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$23.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 86% 9 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 94.8% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.4% 18 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.1% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 68.8% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 29% 6 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 23% 7 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 23.1% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 80% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 39% 8 shares