Polymarket Trader

MATHIEUN

0xe4d86cfd3d3a6b1aab240bd420c0d880e5ae861c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.9
Realized PnL: $35.42
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $12.05
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.63
Potential profit: $6.63
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Solana above $120 on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Bitcoin all time high before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

US military action on Yemen before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will "Yeah" be said 100+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Solana above $138 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Thunder position

NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

No 74% 13.51 shares
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 56% 8.93 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET

Up 99.9% 6.06 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET

Up 99% 6.06 shares
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

No 69% 7.25 shares
Will "Yeah" be said 100+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)

Yes 80.9% 4.94 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 83% 12.05 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 83% 12.05 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 76% 13.16 shares
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 50% 10 shares
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Yes 85% 7.06 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of January?

No 90% 5.56 shares